The Conservative Party is on the brink of an unprecedented electoral disaster, with Labour poised for a landslide victory, according to a new Ipsos poll of nearly 20,000 people. The survey forecasts Labour securing 453 seats, while the Conservatives would plummet to just 115, handing Sir Keir Starmer’s party a commanding 256-seat majority.
The Ipsos poll suggests the situation could be even grimmer for the Tories, projecting a potential low of 99 seats. Such a result would see prominent Conservative figures, including Grant Shapps, Penny Mordaunt, Gillian Keegan, Johnny Mercer, and Sir Jacob Rees-Mogg, losing their parliamentary seats.
Chancellor Jeremy Hunt faces a tight contest in his Surrey constituency of Godalming and Ash, with cabinet ministers James Cleverly and Kemi Badenoch barely holding onto their positions, according to the poll.
In a stunning development, Nigel Farage is set to win Clacton from the Conservatives, overturning the party’s substantial majority in the coastal constituency. This victory would mark Farage’s first time as an MP, a significant milestone in his political career.
Former Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn, who is running as an independent, is predicted to lose the Islington North seat he has represented since 1983, with the Labour candidate expected to prevail.
The poll also projects the Liberal Democrats winning 38 seats, the Scottish National Party 15, the Greens three, and Reform UK three.
These findings align with a Survation poll released on Monday, which used a similar methodology to predict a massive Labour majority.
As the election approaches, these projections indicate a dramatic shift in the political landscape, with the Conservatives facing their worst defeat in history and Labour on track for a decisive victory. The emergence of Nigel Farage as a potential MP adds an intriguing twist to an already unpredictable race.
