In a concerning development, Ukraine’s security service has issued a warning about an alleged “false flag” attack being prepared by Russia at an oil refinery in Belarus. According to the service, the planned strike on the Mozyr plant aims to implicate Ukrainian saboteurs, possibly with the intention of drawing Belarus into the ongoing conflict. The claims are based on information obtained from various sources, including a captured Russian serviceman. The attack is believed to be orchestrated by a “sabotage and intelligence group” comprising Russian Armed Forces personnel and members of the Wagner mercenary group. The security service emphasises that any invader crossing the Ukrainian border will be met with a swift response from their security and defence forces.
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In a separate development, Russia and China have been conducting joint navy exercises in the Bering Sea. The drills involved practising tactics to detect and destroy submarines. As the two nations strengthen their military ties, concerns have been raised about the potential implications for the war in Ukraine. China has been accused of clandestinely supplying Moscow with weapons, although it denies such claims and has presented itself as a neutral party. Despite this, China has previously offered a peace plan to Russia and Ukraine, proposing a way to resolve the ongoing conflict.