In a stunning turn of events, the Labour Party is poised for a landslide victory in Thursday’s election, according to YouGov’s final MRP poll. The party, led by Sir Keir Starmer, is projected to secure a staggering 431 seats, surpassing its previous record of 419 seats won in 1997. This historic win would mark the highest number of seats ever achieved by Labour.
The surge in support for Labour is remarkable, more than doubling the 202 seats they secured in the 2019 election. If these projections hold, it will grant them the largest majority since 1832.
Meanwhile, the Conservative Party faces a significant bleak future. The Tories are projected to win just 102 seats, a sharp decline of over two-thirds from their previous performance under Boris Johnson. In 1997, they secured 165 seats, only to lose to a landslide victory Labour.
Notable Conservative figures, including former party leader Iain Duncan Smith, Jeremy Hunt and Teresa Coffey are among those set to lose their seats.
Here’s the breakdown of seat counts for the main parties:
- Labour: 431 seats
- Conservatives: 102 seats
- Lib Dems: 72 seats
- SNP: 18 seats
- Reform: 3 seats
- Greens: 2 seats
It’s important to note that these numbers fall within the pollster’s margin of error. Labour’s seat count could range from 391 to 466, while the Tories’ range is 78 to 129. The Liberal Democrats could secure anywhere from 57 to 87 seats, the SNP from 8 to 34, Reform from 0 to 14, Greens from 1 to 4, and Plaid from 1 to 4.
The YouGov poll, based on interviews with 42,758 voters conducted from June 19 to July 2, paints a picture of a seismic shift in British politics. As the nation heads to the polls, all eyes are on the unfolding drama that could reshape the political landscape for years to come.
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