New research analysed by LandlordBuyers.com reveals a significant increase in private rental prices across the United Kingdom over the past 12 months, highlighting a narrowing North-South divide in the rental market. England and Wales saw an 8.5% increase, while Scotland experienced a 7.6% rise, and Northern Ireland led with a 9.9% surge.
The study shows that renters in several regions are now spending well above the recommended 30% of their monthly salary on rent. London renters face the highest burden, with 53.4% of income going towards rent, followed by the South East at 37.5% and the South West at 36.5%. Other regions exceeding the 30% affordability threshold include East England (35.9%), Scotland (32%), and the West Midlands (31.9%).
In contrast, some areas remain more affordable, with the North East (24.7%) and Wales (24.8%) offering the best value for renters. The East Midlands (27.3%), Yorkshire (27.8%), and the North West (29%) also fall within the recommended range.
Jason Harris-Cohen, Managing Director of LandlordBuyers.com, commented on the findings: “A North-South divide definitely still exists, but the divide is tapering.” He referenced recent data from Hamptons showing that the gap between Northern and Southern rental values is now at its lowest point in over a decade.
Harris-Cohen also discussed factors that could influence future rental trends, including landlords’ decisions to exit the market, especially in the South, which could restrict supply and potentially drive up rent prices. He also highlighted potential political impacts, such as the Labour Party’s levelling up policy, which could increase the appeal of Northern regions and lead to wage increases.
The report also noted the impact of house prices on shaping rental trends. With house price growth stagnating in the South but remaining strong in the North, the difference in affordability has contributed to narrowing the North-South rental divide.
Despite recent wage growth outpacing inflation, the Office for National Statistics reported a 5.1% increase in wages over the three months leading to July 2024, rental costs have continued to rise at a faster rate. According to the report, the cost of renting a new home in England was 7% higher in August 2024 compared to the previous year.
As the UK rental market continues to evolve, the narrowing North-South divide and the affordability challenges present a complex picture for both renters and landlords across the country.