UK Faces Rising Risk of Gas Shortages This Winter: Power Cuts Loom

The UK has been slapped with a stark warning: gas shortages this winter are now far more likely. National Grid’s Electricity System Operator (ESO) has revealed a contingency plan that could see planned three-hour power cuts in some areas if gas supplies can’t meet demand.

Power Cuts Possible If Gas Runs Short

The ESO warned that temporary blackouts could hit households and businesses, but stressed public help could avoid the worst. These planned outages would prioritise heating and essential services.

Under a “base case scenario,” the UK might just scrape through thanks to a steady flow of North Sea gas, imports from Norway, and shipments by sea. However, the margin between supply and peak demand is tighter than in recent years.

Save Energy, Earn Cash: New Scheme Launches

To tackle the crisis, the ESO is unveiling the “demand flexibility service” next month. This scheme pays households that cut energy use during peak hours. Signing up through energy suppliers could mean cash rewards for shifting washing machines and other appliance use to off-peak times.

“If you put your washing machine or other electrical appliances on at night instead of the peak in the early evening, you can get some money back when we all need it,” said Jake Rigg, ESO’s director of corporate affairs.

Europe’s Gas Crisis Puts Pressure on UK Supply

A separate study from National Grid Gas Transmission warns that a pinch in European gas supply – triggered by Russia’s war in Ukraine – could hit the UK’s import capacity. Demand for gas to power UK electricity is expected to jump nearly 22%, offsetting any cuts in household and business use.

With many nuclear plants in Europe offline, liquefied natural gas (LNG) from the US and Qatar becomes crucial. Gas currently generates over 40% of the UK’s power, and this reliance will grow if wind turbines fail to spin or other plants close for maintenance.

Ofgem Flags “Significant Risk” of Gas Emergency

Energy watchdog Ofgem added fuel to the fire earlier this week, warning of a “significant risk” of a gas supply emergency. If this kicks in, industrial users could face forced gas cutoffs to keep homes and hospitals powered.

Coal plants could be fired up again to plug electricity gaps when renewables or nuclear fall short. But authorities hope the demand flexibility scheme will reduce the need for this drastic fallback.

Energy bills have already soared but remain shielded by government wholesale cost caps, protecting consumers from the worst price spikes this winter. However, these caps don’t limit overall bills, which depend on usage.

“We have one of the world’s most reliable energy systems, and we are in a good position,” an Ofgem spokesperson said. “But it’s essential to have the right contingency plans. We’re working with government, National Grid, and key partners to keep consumers safe and Britain fully prepared this winter.”

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