The Met Office has issued an amber warning for heavy rain across parts of northwest England and northern Wales, warning of potential “danger to life” due to flooding. This alert is in place for 24 hours from midday on Wednesday, affecting areas including Manchester and Liverpool.
Severe Weather Warnings
Heavy rainfall is expected to cause significant travel disruption, with the potential for fast-flowing or deep floodwater to create hazardous conditions. The Met Office warns that some communities may become isolated, experience power cuts, and face cancellations of train and bus services.
In addition to the amber warning, a yellow warning for rain covers the north of England, the Midlands, and north and central Wales until 6am on Thursday. Southern and eastern Scotland are also under a yellow warning from midday today until 6pm tomorrow.
Thunderstorms on the South Coast
The south coast of England is likely to experience thunderstorms, with a yellow warning in place from 8am until 7pm on Wednesday. Lightning strikes could accompany the heavy downpours, adding to the potential for disruption.
Rainfall Expectations
Met Office meteorologist Alex Burkill highlighted the potential for “heavy, persistent rain” throughout Wednesday. While many areas are expected to receive 30-40mm of rain, some locations could see 60-80mm. There is even a small chance that a few upland areas might receive up to 150mm.
Climate Change Impact
Scientists have noted that the storms battering the UK and Ireland last autumn and winter were made approximately 20% heavier due to climate change. A warmer atmosphere holds more water vapour, contributing to heavier rainfall.
Forecast for the Week
Chief meteorologist Andy Page indicated that areas exposed to strengthening northerly winds are most likely to see the highest rainfall. Northern regions are expected to remain cloudy and wet on Thursday, while southern areas may experience drier conditions with sunshine spreading more widely by the end of the week.
Looking ahead to the bank holiday Monday, much of the country can expect dry conditions, with warm temperatures in the sunshine.